Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Braga		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.75
	1.52	4.2	6.25
	1.52	4.35	6.5	Watch
	1.51	4.45	6.6
	1.52	4.41	6.47
	1.44	4.4	6.5
	1.58	4.42	6.37
	1.53	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.39)	4.38 ↓ (4.98)	6.31 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
63%

Draw
21.8%

Qarabağ Agdam
15.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	9.1%	6.1%

Braga - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 2. Gomez V. 15. Oliveira P. 4. Niakate S. 26. Borja C. 28. Moutinho J. 18. Vitor Carvalho 16. Zalazar R. 23. Banza S. 9. Ruiz A. (C) 14. Djalo A.	99. Lunev A. (G) 2. Silva M. 13. Mustafazada B. 55. Huseynov B. (C) 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. 18. Juninho
Substitutes
55. Chissumba 11. Fernandes R. 6. Fonte J. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 17. Mendes J. 10. Ndour C. 22. Pizzi 20. Rony Lopes 5. Saatci S. 59. Said Y. 12. Sa T. (G) 90. Soumare E. H.	90. Akhundzade N. 65. Andrade P. 27. Bayramov T. 23. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 30. Huseynov A. 24. Isayev A. 17. Keyta H. 81. Medina K. 5. Medvedev M. 89. Ramazanov A. (G) 19. Xhixha R.
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Gurbanov G.

Preview

1st leg.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Qarabağ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Braga have a series of home games.

In this match Braga is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Braga: Bruma (Knee Injury) Marin A. (Injury)

There will not play in Qarabağ: Medina K. (Injury) Vesovic M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Braga: Horta R. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
11.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	5:0 ✺
04.02.24	Braga - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	Braga - Chaves	1:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
27.01.24	Braga - Estoril Praia	2:1 penalties ✺
23.01.24	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTWW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.02.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	3:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
08.02.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	3:4 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
03.02.24	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
30.01.24	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	1:7 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.01.24	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
01.11.26	Braga - Famalicão	✺
Portuguese League Cup
29.10.26	Braga - Famalicão	✺

Braga - Qarabağ Agdam