The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Qarabağ Agdam 63%
Draw 22.6%
CSKA Sofia 14.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
25.8%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
25.4%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qarabağ Agdam's performance.
CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qarabağ Agdam that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.9%
4.7%
2.4%
Qarabağ Agdam - CSKA Sofia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.75 - CSKA Sofia (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Qarabağ Agdam will win
(76 of 80 users predict this - 95%). Confidence interval (95%): 90.22% – 99.78%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Qarabağ Agdam will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 9 - 90%). CSKA Sofia (votes: 1 - 10%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Kochalski M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 55. Huseynov B. (C) 4. Varkonyi B. 5. Langa B. 35. Pedro Bicalho 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 20. Kady Borges 10. Zoubir A. 11. Sawo Z.
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pastor 32. Rodriguez F. 14. Ivanov T. 17. Martino A. 7. Ebong M. 5. Gbamin J. 6. Jordao B. (C) 8. Sensi S. 9. Godoy L. 28. Pittas I.
Substitutes
49. Bashirov A. 32. Cabrayilzada H. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 29. Cephas R. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 25. Makreckis C. 9. Montiel J. 7. Mouaddib J. 13. Mustafazada B. 22. Qurbanly M. 23. Zlomislic M. (G)
11. Brahimi M. 80. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 34. Kaymakanov V. 38. Leo Pereira 3. Ouorou T. 30. Panayotov P. 77. Piedrahita A. 94. Solet I. 91. Tunchev A. 19. Yordanov A. 10. Zwarts J.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.
Yanev H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Godoy L. 🟨,
37', Jankovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Langa B. ↓, Cafarquliyev E. ↑,
56', Jankovic M. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
73', Godoy L. ↓, Zwarts J. ↑,
73', Ebong M. ↓, Solet I. ↑,
74', Kashchuk O. ↓, Mouaddib J. ↑,
74', Huseynov B. ↓, Makreckis C. ↑,
77', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
78', Zoubir A. ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
84', Martino A. ↓, Ouorou T. ↑,
90+1', Pastor ↓, Brahimi M. ↑,
90+1', Sensi S. ↓, Panayotov P. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In recent matches, Qarabağ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
CSKA Sofia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Qarabağ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Qarabağ is the obvious favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).