Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Azersun Arena (Baku)

Referee: Jorgji E. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Qarabağ Agdam		Nantes

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.9
	2.45	3.3	2.87
	2.55	3.3	2.9
	2.48	3.3	2.9
	2.55	3.39	2.94
	2.45	3.4	2.8
	2.49	3.46	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.68)	3.35 ↓ (3.36)	2.89 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 6

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
38.4%

Draw
28.5%

Nantes
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.3%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.8%	27.6%	27.6%

Qarabağ Agdam - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 26 - 44.8%). Nantes will win (votes: 16 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 32% – 57.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Qarabağ has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (2%), has a small chance of 2nd (9%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (3%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nantes has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (30%), has a chance of 2nd (40%), has a chance of 3rd (23%), has a chance of round of 16 (40%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 50, importance 61, match rating 56. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Qarabağ: Medina K. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Nantes: Traore C. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.09.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	4:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Freiburg - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.09.22	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.08.22	Viktoria Plzeň - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
11.09.22	Lorient - Nantes	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Nantes - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.09.22	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
31.08.22	Strasbourg - Nantes	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Nantes - Toulouse	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLTW

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