Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	RTL
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Freiburg		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8
	1.37	5	8
	1.4	5	8
	1.39	5	7.8
	1.37	5.22	9.02
	1.38	4.75	8
	1.37	5.25	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)	5.03 ↑ (4.84)	8.22 ↑ (7.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 5

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
69.4%

Draw
19%

Qarabağ Agdam
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

19.6%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

19%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.1%	5.6%	8.3%

Freiburg - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (62 of 72 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.12% – 94.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Freiburg has currently - 0, has a good chance of 1st (53%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a small chance of 3rd (15%), has a good chance of round of 16 (65%), has a chance of qtrs (30%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Qarabağ has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (3%), has a small chance of 2nd (11%), has a chance of 3rd (24%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (5%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 53, importance 60, match rating 57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Freiburg is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Ezekwem K. (Suspended) Holer L. (Leg Injury) Sallai R. (Injury)

There will not play in Qarabağ: Medina K. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Gulde M. (Ankle Injury) Schade K. (Abdominal strain)

Our prediction for today's Freiburg to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
03.09.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:3 ✺
26.08.22	Freiburg - Bochum	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Stuttgart - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
12.08.22	Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:3 ✺
06.08.22	Augsburg - Freiburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.09.22	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.08.22	Viktoria Plzeň - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
17.08.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
13.08.22	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLTW

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