Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 30

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Qingdao Youth Football Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Hainiu		Cangzhou Mighty Lions

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	5.75
	1.47	4.33	5.5
	1.5	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.48	4.59	6.09
	1.5	4.42	5.85	Watch
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.5	4.65	6.02	Watch
	1.5	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.67)	4.48 ↑ (4.02)	5.71 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Qingdao Hainiu
62.8%

Draw
20.8%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

23.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

21.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao Hainiu's performance.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Qingdao Hainiu - Cangzhou Mighty Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: Qingdao Hainiu will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mu P. (C) 25. Wang Chien-Ming 33. Liu Jiashen 3. Liu Junshuai 24. Xu Dong 32. Long Wei 34. Yonghao J. 7. Saric E. 10. Kangwa E. 20. Diego L. 11. Boakye M.	14. Shao Puliang (C) 7. Zheng Dalun 36. Yang Yun 16. Zheng Kaimu 15. Wang Peng 32. Sun M. 19. Zhukov G. 8. Zhao Yingjie 6. Obileye A. 31. Solomon-Otabor V. 20. Liu Xinyu
Substitutes
12. Chen Chunxin 1. Liu Jun (G) 6. Liu Weicheng 22. Liu Zhenli (G) 26. Radmanovac N. 5. Sha Yibo 23. Song Long 19. Song Wenjie 18. Wang Zihao 38. Zhang Wei 27. Zheng Long 30. Zhong Jinbao	37. Dong Hang (G) 26. Guo Yunqi 29. Han Feng (G) 28. Han Rongze (G) 25. Hou J. 21. Liu Xiaoqi 13. Sun Qinhan 17. Wen Da 24. Wu G. 5. Yan Zihao 18. Yao X.
Coaches
Petrov Y.	Li Xiaopeng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Saric E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Diego L. ↓, Zhong Jinbao ↑,
67', Yonghao J. ↓, Wang Zihao ↑,
80', Liu Xinyu ↓, Yao X. ↑,
87', Boakye M. ↓, Song Wenjie ↑,
90+2', Kangwa E. ↓, Zheng Long ↑,
90+3', Long Wei ↓, Song Long ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Qingdao Hainiu won 2.

Qingdao Hainiu has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cangzhou is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Qingdao Hainiu is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Qingdao Hainiu won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:20 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao Hainiu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
27.10.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	6:0 ✺
28.09.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
27.10.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	3:2 ✺
22.09.24	Zhejiang Professional - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
16.06.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1
04.11.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao Hainiu	0:0
07.07.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1
24.07.21	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao Hainiu	2:0
21.04.21	Qingdao Hainiu - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:1
05.09.20	Qingdao Hainiu - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	0:1
Chinese Jia League
17.08.19	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0

Qingdao Hainiu - Cangzhou Mighty Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide