Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 25

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Cangzhou Mighty Lions		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.4
	2.85	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.92	3.45	2.44
	2.89	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.3
	2.87	3.57	2.39	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.4)	3.38 ↓ (3.47)	2.39 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
33.2%

Draw
27.7%

Meizhou Hakka
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.1%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cangzhou Mighty Lions's form might have worsened.

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Meizhou Hakka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cangzhou Mighty Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Meizhou Hakka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cangzhou will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Shao Puliang (C) 17. Wen Da 16. Zheng Kaimu 15. Wang Peng 7. Zheng Dalun 19. Zhukov G. 6. Obileye A. 32. Sun M. 20. Liu Xinyu 9. Heber 31. Solomon-Otabor V.	18. Cheng Yuelei (G) 29. Yue Tze-Nam 6. Liao Junjian 11. Morris D. 15. Chen Zhechao 13. Shi Liang (C) 27. Kosovic N. 16. Yang Chaosheng 25. Rodrigo Henrique 7. Ye Chugui 28. John Mary
Substitutes
37. Dong Hang (G) 26. Guo Yunqi 29. Han Feng (G) 28. Han Rongze (G) 25. Hou J. 35. Jianyi Zhou 13. Sun Qinhan 36. Yang Yun 5. Yan Zihao 18. Yao X. 8. Zhao Yingjie 12. Zhu Yue	30. Chen Jie 8. Conraad T. 41. Guo Quanbo (G) 14. Li Ning 38. Li Yongjia 3. Pan Ximing 31. Rao Weihui 20. Wang Jia'nan 42. Wei Zhiwei 17. Yang Yihu 12. Yin Congyao 10. Yin Hongbo
Coaches
Li Xiaopeng	Ristic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', Kosovic N. ↓, Chen Jie ↑,
37', Wang Peng 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Wang Peng ⚽, Heber (A),
45+7', 2 - 0, Zhukov G. ⚽, Heber (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Liu Xinyu ↓, Yao X. ↑,
46', Wen Da ↓, Yang Yun ↑,
46', Ye Chugui ↓, Conraad T. ↑,
60', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Yin Hongbo ↑,
60', Shi Liang ↓, Wei Zhiwei ↑,
63', Solomon-Otabor V. ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
66', 2 - 1, John Mary (Pen),
82', Obileye A. ↓, Yan Zihao ↑,
87', Chen Jie ↓, Yin Congyao ↑,
90', Heber ↓, Zhu Yue ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cangzhou won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
16.08.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	0:2 ✺
09.08.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shandong Taishan	3:1 ✺
02.08.24	Qingdao West Coast - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Changchun Yatai - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
22.07.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Shenhua	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WWTLL
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
17.08.24	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
09.08.24	Shanghai Port - Meizhou Hakka	7:2 ✺
03.08.24	Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:2 ✺
28.07.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Meizhou Hakka	4:2 ✺
21.07.24	Qingdao West Coast - Meizhou Hakka	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
05.05.24	Meizhou Hakka - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1
29.09.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Meizhou Hakka	0:1
09.06.23	Meizhou Hakka - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:3
29.06.22	Meizhou Hakka - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:1
09.06.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Meizhou Hakka	1:1

Upcoming Matches