The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cangzhou Mighty Lions 31.8%
Draw 26.3%
Wuhan Three Towns 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
24.2%
51.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
23.1%
49.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cangzhou Mighty Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cangzhou Mighty Lions's performance.
Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuhan Three Towns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cangzhou Mighty Lions that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuhan Three Towns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
13.3%
73.3%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions
Users Predictions:
Wuhan Three Towns will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Shao Puliang (C) 6. Obileye A. 36. Yang Yun 15. Wang Peng 12. Zhu Yue 19. Zhukov G. 8. Zhao Yingjie 32. Sun M. 10. Taty Maritu O. 9. Heber 31. Solomon-Otabor V.
32. Liu Dianzuo (C) 28. Wang Denny 40. Yusup Umidjan 5. Park Ji-Su 4. Jiang Zhipeng 7. Tao Qianglong 12. Zhang Xiaobin 11. Balde R. 20. Asqer A. 37. Darlan 9. Pedro H.
Substitutes
29. Han Feng (G) 28. Han Rongze (G) 25. Hou J. 35. Jianyi Zhou 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 13. Sun Qinhan 17. Wen Da 5. Yan Zihao 18. Yao X. 7. Zheng Dalun 16. Zheng Kaimu
35. Abdukiram A. 38. Chen X. (G) 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 6. Haliq Ablahan 14. Joca 8. Liu Ruofan 18. Liu Yiming 19. Liu Yue 10. Luo Senwen 42. Min Zixi 16. Zhang Hui 43. Zhang Tao
Coaches
Zhao Junzhe
Rodriguez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Solomon-Otabor V. ⚽, Taty Maritu O. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Balde R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Asqer A. ↓, Liu Ruofan ↑,
56', Zhu Yue ↓, Wen Da ↑,
61', Yang Yun 🟨,
65', Tao Qianglong ↓, Joca ↑,
68', Heber ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
82', Wang Denny ↓, Zhang Tao ↑,
82', Balde R. ↓, Liu Yue ↑,
90+2', Solomon-Otabor V. ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,
90+3', Taty Maritu O. 🟨,
90+4', Yang Yun 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).
Cangzhou has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Wuhan Three Towns is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wuhan Three Towns will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Cangzhou won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.
China
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Shao Puliang (C) 
Obileye A. 
Zhukov G. 
Sun M. 
Taty Maritu O. 
Heber 
Solomon-Otabor V. 
Park Ji-Su 
Balde R. 
Joca 
Rodriguez R. 
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