The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Changchun Yatai 68.2%
Draw 19.1%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
26%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
20.4%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changchun Yatai's performance.
Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cangzhou Mighty Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-31%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changchun Yatai that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+21.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cangzhou Mighty Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
Changchun Yatai will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 2. Abdugheni A. 31. Sunzu S. 4. Rosic L. (C) 5. Li Shenyuan 16. Tudi Dilyimit 35. Wang Yu 20. Zhang Yufeng 10. Serginho 9. Beric R. 29. Tan Long
28. Han Rongze (G) 36. Yang Yun 16. Zheng Kaimu 6. Obileye A. (C) 15. Wang Peng 32. Sun M. 18. Yao X. 10. Taty Maritu O. 7. Zheng Dalun 31. Solomon-Otabor V. 9. Heber
Substitutes
30. Abdusalam S. 34. He Yiran 25. He Zhenyu 36. Jiang Wenhao 19. Liao Chengjian 32. Sun Guoliang 15. Tian Yuda 3. Wang Yaopeng 28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 14. Yang Xinyang (G) 26. Yuan Mincheng 6. Zhang Huachen
37. Dong Hang (G) 29. Han Feng (G) 25. Hou J. 35. Jianyi Zhou 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 13. Sun Qinhan 17. Wen Da 5. Yan Zihao 8. Zhao Yingjie 12. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Xie Hui
Li Xiaopeng
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Serginho ↓, Liao Chengjian ↑,
33', Yao X. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Sunzu S. 🟨,
57', Tudi Dilyimit ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
76', Yao X. ↓, Li Hong ↑,
77', Zhang Yufeng ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
82', Yang Yun ↓, Wen Da ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Tan Long ⚽,
90+6', Zheng Kaimu 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Changchun Yatai won 3.
The competitors look crappy now.
Cangzhou could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Changchun Yatai have a series of guest games.
In this match Changchun Yatai is certain favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Changchun Yatai won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Changchun Yatai won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.
China
Watch
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Wu Yake (G) 
Sunzu S. 
Rosic L. (C) 
Serginho 
Beric R. 
Obileye A. (C) 
Sun M. 
Taty Maritu O. 
Solomon-Otabor V. 
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