Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 18

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Cangzhou Mighty Lions		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.3
	2.8	3.3	2.25
	2.9	3.3	2.35	Watch
	3.01	3.35	2.41
	2.98	3.3	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.2
	2.96	3.61	2.31	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.22)	3.36 ↓ (3.55)	2.31 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
32%

Draw
27.7%

Shenzhen Peng City
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

26.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

25.6%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen Peng City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cangzhou will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Shao Puliang (C) 16. Zheng Kaimu 6. Obileye A. 15. Wang Peng 7. Zheng Dalun 8. Zhao Yingjie 19. Zhukov G. 32. Sun M. 10. Taty Maritu O. 9. Heber 31. Solomon-Otabor V.	13. Peng Peng (G) 20. Dugalic R. 25. Hu Ruibao 5. Song Yue 2. Zhang Wei 28. Zhang Yudong 33. Zhu Baojie (C) 16. Li Zhi 44. Ruan Yang 11. Garcia E. 10. Ortiz M. J.
Substitutes
29. Han Feng (G) 28. Han Rongze (G) 25. Hou J. 35. Jianyi Zhou 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 13. Sun Qinhan 36. Yang Yun 5. Yan Zihao 18. Yao X. 12. Zhu Yue	27. Abduweli Behram 31. Ependi N. 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 6. Lin Chuangyi 21. Nan Song 19. Orr M. 24. Wang H. 4. Wang Qiao 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 15. Yu Rui 8. Zhou Dadi
Coaches
Zhao Junzhe	Tato J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Obileye A. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Heber ⚽,
28', Li Zhi 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Ortiz M. J. ⚽, Li Zhi (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zheng Kaimu ↓, Yang Yun ↑,
61', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zhu Yue ↑,
63', Heber 🟨,
67', Zhu Baojie ↓, Orr M. ↑,
67', Ruan Yang ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑,
70', Song Yue 🟨,
71', Zheng Dalun ↓, Sun Qinhan ↑,
71', Heber ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
78', Zhang Yudong ↓, Lin Chuangyi ↑,
85', Solomon-Otabor V. ↓, Yao X. ↑,
89', Li Zhi ↓, Ependi N. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 11).

Cangzhou has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shenzhen Peng City is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Cangzhou have a series of guest games.

Shenzhen Peng City will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Shenzhen Peng City to win the game is with odds 2.09.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
30.06.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0 ✺
26.06.24	Beijing Guoan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.24	Nanjing City - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
16.06.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Shanghai Port - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
29.06.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
25.06.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Zhejiang Professional	3:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
14.06.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
29.03.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:2

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