Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 29

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	7.5
	1.32	4.6	7.8	Watch
	1.31	4.84	9.07
	1.37	4.61	8.61	Watch
	1.29	4.6	9
	1.29	4.8	8.6	Watch
	1.32	4.6	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	4.69 ↑ (4.59)	8.34 ↑ (8.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
69.5%

Draw
19.5%

Yanbian Longding
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

19.9%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

19%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guangzhou Evergrande - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Users Predictions: Guangzhou Evergrande will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 8. Sadauskas R. 18. Liao Jintao 3. Liu Langzhou 16. Zhang Zhixiong 6. Hou Yu 17. Yang Hao 14. Wu Yongqiang 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Alegria J.	19. Dong Jialin (G) 20. Jin Taiyan 3. Wang Peng 15. Xu Jizu 31. Qian Changjie 23. Wang Chengkuai 16. Wang B. 14. Li L. 32. Ren J. 11. Arboleda V. 39. Hu Z.
Substitutes
30. Bai Yutao 22. Li Jiahao 28. Penaloza J. 24. Qurban W. 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 2. Wang Wenxuan 19. Wu Junjie 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Yang Dejiang 12. Yasin Islam	18. Khedrup Lobsang 5. Li Da 33. Li Jinyu 29. Liu Bo 12. Li Ya'nan (G) 28. Wang Haocheng (G) 26. Xu Wenguang 36. Yang Erhai 37. Yang Jingfan 38. Zhang Aokai 25. Zhang Hao
Coaches
Suay S.	Lee Ki-Hyung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Alegria J. ⚽, Xu Bin (A),
41', 2 - 0, Wu Yongqiang ⚽, Yang Hao (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wang B. ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
46', Hu Z. ↓, Li Da ↑,
46', Ren J. ↓, Li Jinyu ↑,
46', Qian Changjie ↓, Liu Bo ↑,
49', Li Da 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Li Jinyu ⚽,
63', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Wang Wenxuan ↑,
75', Wang Chengkuai ↓, Khedrup Lobsang ↑,
78', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
78', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
78', Yang Hao ↓, Penaloza J. ↑,
81', Liu Langzhou 🟨,
81', Li Jinyu 🟨,
83', Liu Langzhou ↓, Wang Jie ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Bai Yutao ⚽, Penaloza J. (A),
87', Bai Yutao 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 11).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Yanbian Longding is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Guangzhou Evergrande is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou Evergrande won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
19.10.24	Liaoning Tieren - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTTW
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
19.10.24	Yanbian Longding - Qingdao Red Lions	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Yanbian Longding	3:2 ✺
06.10.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Yanbian Longding - Yunnan Yukun	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
16.06.24	Yanbian Longding - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:2
22.10.23	Yanbian Longding - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0
08.07.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Yanbian Longding	2:0

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