Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Queen of the South		Dundee United

	1	X	2
	7	5.25	1.3
	7.25	5.25	1.3
	9	5.5	1.28
	9.22	5.22	1.29
	9.22	5.22	1.29
	8.2	5.15	1.31
	8.2	5.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.3 ↑ (5.57)	5.26 ↑ (4.5)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
11.1%

Draw
17.6%

Dundee United
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

20.3%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

19.4%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queen of the South's form might have worsened.

Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundee United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundee United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Queen of the South - Dundee United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Stone H. (G) 23. Logan C. 5. McKay P. 24. Ambrose E. 19. MacIntyre O. 15. McClelland K. 8. Todd J. 11. McGuffie C. 30. Walker H. 9. Reilly G. 10. Connelly L.	1. Walton J. (G) 8. Grimshaw L. 31. Gallagher D. 4. Holt K. 33. McMann S. 18. Fotheringham K. 14. Sibbald C. 21. Glass D. 23. Docherty R. (C) 15. Middleton G. 9. Moult L.
Substitutes
1. Botterill G. (G) 2. Houston J. 14. Hutchinson J. 20. Irving R. 28. Johnstone B. 7. McKechnie K.	48. Carnwath A. 28. Cudjoe M. 5. Denham O. 22. Freeman K. 6. Graham R. 26. Mochrie C. R. 13. Newman J. (G) 53. Stirton O. 16. Tillson J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 2.

Queen of the South is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dundee Utd is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dundee Utd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dundee Utd is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 27-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Queen of the South won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
18.11.23	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	1:3 ✺
11.11.23	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Queen of the South - Falkirk	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Annan Athletic - Queen of the South	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLTLW
- Dundee United
Scottish Challenge Cup
17.11.23	Falkirk - Dundee United	4:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
10.11.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Dundee United	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Dundee United - Inverness	1:1 ✺
31.10.23	Airdrieonians - Dundee United	0:2 ✺
27.10.23	Dundee United - Arbroath	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.23	Dundee United - Queen of the South	2:1
Scottish Football Championship
04.01.20	Queen of the South - Dundee United	0:1
16.11.19	Dundee United - Queen of the South	3:0
19.10.19	Queen of the South - Dundee United	4:0
30.03.19	Dundee United - Queen of the South	1:2
16.02.19	Queen of the South - Dundee United	0:1
03.11.18	Dundee United - Queen of the South	2:0

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