Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 35

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Excelsior Stadium (Airdrie)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Airdrieonians		Dundee United

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.44	Watch
	5.25	4.2	1.44
	4.5	3.6	1.75
	6.13	4.51	1.48
	6.13	4.52	1.49
	6.5	4.33	1.4
	6.01	4.4	1.46	Watch
	5.6	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.73 ↑ (4.56)	4.22 ↑ (3.64)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
16.1%

Draw
21.9%

Dundee United
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

25.4%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

24.9%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundee United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundee United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	7.1%	64.3%

Airdrieonians - Dundee United Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Dundee Utd will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee Utd: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Hemfrey R. (G) 15. Megwa K. 16. Watson C. 6. Fordyce C. 5. Hancock M. 14. McMaster D. 26. Donnell C. 8. McGregor L. 24. Lyall A. 21. Telfer Ch. (C) 23. McGill G.	1. Walton J. (G) 29. Thomson M. 5. McClelland S. 6. Graham R. 33. McMann S. 14. Sibbald C. 18. Fotheringham K. 26. Mochrie C. R. 10. Wotherspoon D. 15. Middleton G. 32. Watt T. (C)
Substitutes
18. Aiken M. 19. Dunlop E. 9. Gallagher C. 28. Gallagher G. 43. Hutton D. (G) 7. O'Connor J. 27. Rowley C. 3. Taylor-Sinclair A. 11. Todorov N.	43. Cleall-Harding S. 28. Cudjoe M. 31. Gallagher D. 8. Grimshaw L. 27. MacLeod R. 17. Meekison A. 9. Moult L. 13. Newman J. (G) 16. Tillson J.
Coaches
McCabe R.	Goodwin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Tillson J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Thomson M. ↓, Grimshaw L. ↑,
65', Wotherspoon D. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
65', Fotheringham K. ↓, MacLeod R. ↑,
68', McGill G. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
68', McGregor L. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
77', Donnell C. ↓, Dunlop E. ↑,
77', McMaster D. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,

Preview

Airdrieonians is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)

Airdrieonians is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dundee Utd in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Dundee Utd is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Airdrieonians won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Airdrieonians won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Football Championship
20.04.24	Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians	4:0 ✺
13.04.24	Airdrieonians - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	3:1 ✺
02.04.24	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWW
- Dundee United
Scottish Football Championship
20.04.24	Dundee United - Ayr United	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Greenock Morton - Dundee United	1:4 ✺
06.04.24	Queens Park - Dundee United	0:5 ✺
30.03.24	Dundee United - Raith Rovers	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Dundee United - Inverness	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
27.02.24	Dundee United - Airdrieonians	0:2
31.10.23	Airdrieonians - Dundee United	0:2
02.09.23	Dundee United - Airdrieonians	2:0
Scottish Cup
09.01.16	Airdrieonians - Dundee United	0:1

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