Match Info

Date: 30 April 2021, Friday


	Queen of the South		Dundee

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.72
	4.35	3.45	1.75	Watch
	4.2	3.7	1.73
	4.71	3.82	1.78
	4.4	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.64	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↓ (4.39)	3.59 ↑ (3.48)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
21.2%

Draw
25.9%

Dundee
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

26.6%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

21.2%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dundee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Queen of the South - Dundee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Queen of the South is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dundee is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dundee is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Queen of the South won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish Football Championship
24.04.21	Ayr United - Queen of the South	0:0 ✺
17.04.21	Dunfermline Athletic - Queen of the South	3:1 ✺
13.04.21	Queen of the South - Raith Rovers	0:1 ✺
10.04.21	Queen of the South - Inverness	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
05.04.21	Queen of the South - Hibernian	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- Dundee FC
Scottish Football Championship
24.04.21	Dundee - Raith Rovers	2:1 ✺
20.04.21	Inverness - Dundee	1:1 ✺
13.04.21	Dunfermline Athletic - Dundee	0:0 ✺
10.04.21	Dundee - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
06.04.21	Ayr United - Dundee	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
20.02.21	Dundee - Queen of the South	2:3
26.12.20	Queen of the South - Dundee	1:3
22.02.20	Queen of the South - Dundee	0:1
30.11.19	Dundee - Queen of the South	1:2
27.09.19	Queen of the South - Dundee	1:1
Scottish Cup
29.01.19	Queen of the South - Dundee	3:0
19.01.19	Dundee - Queen of the South	1:1

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