The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dunfermline Athletic 68.3%
Draw 20.1%
Queen of the South 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
23.5%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.1%
24.5%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunfermline Athletic's performance.
Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queen of the South might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunfermline Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queen of the South could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
9.1%
0%
Dunfermline Athletic - Queen of the South Predictions
Users Predictions:
Dunfermline Athletic will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dunfermline Athletic will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Terrell B. (G) 2. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 18. Abdulai N. 31. Tod J. 10. Todd M. 5. Hamilton C. (C) 35. Oakley-Boothe T. 47. Fraser R. 22. Bray K. 20. Kane Ch. 26. Tod A.
1. Stewart R. (G) 16. MacKenzie Z. 5. Douglas M. (C) 15. Rogerson N. 3. Charters T. 8. Luissint B. 4. Lyon R. 7. Smith L. 11. Dickenson B. 10. Kennedy K. 28. Guthrie K.
Substitutes
14. Amade A. 12. Caceres J. 15. Fisher S. 8. Gilmour C. 16. MacLeod R. 1. Mehmet D. (G) 6. Otoo E. 7. Ritchie-Hosler K.
27. Gray B. 26. Green L. (G) 6. Hannah J. 14. Johnstone B. 21. Ross E. 18. Stott J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Tod J. (Own goal),
7', 1 - 1, Kane Ch. ⚽, Bray K. (A),
11', Dickenson B. 🟨,
15', 2 - 1, Kane Ch. ⚽,
19', Charters T. 🟨,
45', Luissint B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Hamilton C. ↓, Gilmour C. ↑,
61', Oakley-Boothe T. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
66', Bray K. 🟨,
71', Kane Ch. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
71', Bray K. ↓, Ritchie-Hosler K. ↑,
73', Dickenson B. ↓, Stott J. ↑,
88', Smith L. ↓, Gray B. ↑,
90+3', Tod J. ↓, Otoo E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Queen of the South may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Dunfermline is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.1:1.1).
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Terrell B. (G) 
Chilokoa-Mullen J. 
Abdulai N. 
Luissint B. 
Amade A. 
Caceres J. 
Mehmet D. (G) 
Green L. (G) 
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