Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 33

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Dens Park (Dundee)

Referee: Graham C. (Sco)


	Dundee		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6	Watch
	1.49	4.1	5.75
	1.53	3.85	5.6
	1.5	4.26	6.65
	1.5	3.8	6	Watch
	1.51	4.1	5.9	Watch
	1.5	4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.58)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)	5.9 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee
61.4%

Draw
23%

Greenock Morton
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.2%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

23.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Dundee - Greenock Morton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dundee won 0.

Dundee is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Greenock is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Dundee is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dundee to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Dundee won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Dundee won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee FC
Scottish Football Championship
11.04.23	Dundee - Raith Rovers	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Arbroath - Dundee	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Dundee - Hamilton Academical	7:0 ✺
21.03.23	Dundee - Ayr United	3:1 ✺
18.03.23	Partick Thistle - Dundee	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWWT
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
11.04.23	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Greenock Morton - Inverness	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
17.02.23	Greenock Morton - Dundee	1:0
22.10.22	Dundee - Greenock Morton	0:0
20.08.22	Greenock Morton - Dundee	0:0
10.04.21	Dundee - Greenock Morton	1:1
27.02.21	Greenock Morton - Dundee	2:2
24.10.20	Dundee - Greenock Morton	1:0
01.02.20	Greenock Morton - Dundee	1:1

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