Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Queens Park		Alloa Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.5
	1.8	3.5	3.7
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.89	3.55	3.6
	1.85	3.63	4.01
	1.72	3.5	4.2
	1.87	3.68	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)	3.57 ↓ (3.71)	3.8 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park
50%

Draw
25.8%

Alloa Athletic
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.9%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

16.2%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Queens Park that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alloa Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Queens Park - Alloa Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Queen's Park won 0.

Recent matches Queen's Park is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alloa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Queen's Park could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alloa have a series of home games.

In this match Queen's Park is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Queen's Park won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Queen's Park won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park FC
Scottish League One
05.03.22	Dumbarton - Queens Park	0:3 ✺
01.03.22	Queens Park - Peterhead	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Queens Park - Montrose	0:1 ✺
19.02.22	East Fife - Queens Park	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Cove Rangers - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLTT
- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
05.03.22	Alloa Athletic - Airdrieonians	0:2 ✺
26.02.22	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:2 ✺
19.02.22	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Alloa Athletic - East Fife	1:3 ✺
08.02.22	Alloa Athletic - Falkirk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
15.01.22	Alloa Athletic - Queens Park	1:1
24.10.21	Queens Park - Alloa Athletic	3:4
21.08.21	Alloa Athletic - Queens Park	1:1
10.03.18	Queens Park - Alloa Athletic	1:2
02.01.18	Alloa Athletic - Queens Park	2:2
28.10.17	Queens Park - Alloa Athletic	0:4
19.08.17	Alloa Athletic - Queens Park	1:0

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