The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Querétaro 35.2%
Draw 27.8%
Club León 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
26.7%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
25.7%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Querétaro's form might have worsened.
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Querétaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club León, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Querétaro - Club León Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Allison G. (G) 24. Duarte B. 13. Reyes D. (C) 2. Abascia L. 27. Parra D. 4. Garcia C. 5. Homenchenko S. 16. Gimenez E. 11. Coronel M. 12. Paulo Victor 9. Avila A.
23. Garcia O. (G) 7. Moreno I. 14. Romana J. 3. Guevara J. 5. Vegas S. 20. Echeverria R. (C) 16. Cortizo J. 19. Alvarado A. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 13. Arcila D. 27. Cambindo D.
Substitutes
20. Alcala A. 7. Benito I. 18. Duenas E. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 29. Madrid W. 30. Martinez J. 17. Munoz D. 8. Parra B. 26. Perez E. 15. Villanueva C.
25. Bellon P. 4. Colula B. 11. Diaz I. 15. Fierro S. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 18. Guerra E. 203. Lara J. 21. Londono S. 26. Reyes S. 33. Villegas A.
Coaches
Gonzalez E.
Gandolfi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Duarte B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cortizo J. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
46', Alvarado A. ↓, Guerra E. ↑,
52', Abascia L. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Arcila D. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Paulo Victor ↓, Benito I. ↑,
55', Duarte B. ↓, Alcala A. ↑,
58', Parra D. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Benito I. ⚽, Coronel M. (A),
62', Avila A. 🟨,
63', Moreno I. 🟨,
68', Vegas S. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
68', Beltran Cruz F. ↓, Reyes S. ↑,
79', Gimenez E. ↓, Duenas E. ↑,
80', Garcia C. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
88', Cambindo D. ↓, Londono S. ↑,
90', Londono S. 🟨,
90', Arcila D. 🟨,
90+2', Coronel M. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Querétaro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Querétaro has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for León: Valadez L.
(Foot Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Querétaro: Unjanque J.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for León: Estrada A.
(Broken Leg).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Querétaro has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:41 (averaging 0.9:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Querétaro against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 7:17 goals (averaging 0.8:1.9 per game).
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Club Leon: 4.89% Queretaro: 3.82%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Club Leon
11
5
3
3
15:12
3
18
5
Queretaro
9
5
2
2
13:8
5
17
Last Results with these Odds
Club León - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.9%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Allison G. (G) 
Duarte B. 
Abascia L. 
Garcia C. 
Homenchenko S. 
Gimenez E. 
Paulo Victor 
Vegas S. 
Diaz I. 
