Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Corregidora (Querétaro)

Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Querétaro		Mazatlan

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.28	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.28	3.45	3.03	Watch
	2.25	3.26	3.1	Watch
	2.13	3.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.28)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Querétaro
41.9%

Draw
28.2%

Mazatlan
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Querétaro - Mazatlan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Querétaro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Allison G. (G) 15. Villanueva C. 8. Barrera P. (C) 6. Homenchenko S. 17. Venegas F. 16. Zapata A. 10. Rodriguez L. 28. Bogarin R. 12. Gomez J. 13. Armenta E. 31. Avila A.	1. Gutierrez D. (G) 26. Leyva A. 15. Colula B. 5. Almada F. 4. Diaz J. 20. Lainez M. 28. Hernandez D. 16. Esquivel J. 6. Meraz R. 10. Benedetti N. (C) 90. Fabio Gomes
Substitutes
55. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 37. Coronel M. 4. Garcia C. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 7. Jhojan Julio 22. Partida E. 21. Pena F. 19. Perez A. 30. Pinuelas J. 23. Robles J.	11. Barcenas Y. 32. Castro C. 9. Duarte A. 7. Dudu 2. Garcia J. 19. Merolla L. 33. Rodriguez R. (G) 23. Sierra J. 18. Torres A. 14. Zaleta M.
Coaches
Mora B.	Siboldi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Benedetti N. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
55', Villanueva C. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Avila A. ⚽, Barrera P. (A),
62', Diaz J. ↓, Dudu ↑,
62', Lainez M. ↓, Barcenas Y. ↑,
69', Esquivel J. ↓, Sierra J. ↑,
71', Bogarin R. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
71', Barrera P. ↓, Robles J. ↑,
76', Carcelen Carabali M. A. 🟨,
77', Leyva A. 🟨,
81', Avila A. ↓, Coronel M. ↑,
81', Rodriguez L. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
81', Hernandez D. ↓, Zaleta M. ↑,
86', Duarte A. 🟨,
87', Dudu 🟥,
87', Zapata A. 🟨,
89', Zapata A. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Querétaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Querétaro could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Lertora F. (Calf Injury) Reyes D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A. (Injury) Moreno Villegas O. F. (Injury) Sierra J. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
26.10.25	Santos Laguna - Querétaro	3:1 ✺
22.10.25	Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Toluca - Querétaro	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Querétaro - Puebla	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Querétaro - Tigres UANL	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLWL
- Mazatlan FC
Mexican Liga MX
24.10.25	Mazatlan - Club América	2:2 ✺
21.10.25	Mazatlan - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Toluca - Mazatlan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
14.03.25	Querétaro - Mazatlan	1:0
04.10.24	Mazatlan - Querétaro	2:2
12.04.24	Querétaro - Mazatlan	0:2
27.10.23	Mazatlan - Querétaro	3:0
19.02.23	Querétaro - Mazatlan	1:1
16.08.22	Mazatlan - Querétaro	1:1
19.02.22	Querétaro - Mazatlan	2:0

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