Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca)

Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Tubi TV
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Toluca		Querétaro

	1	X	2
	1.19	6.5	11	Watch
	1.17	7.4	12.5
	1.22	7.23	11.28
	1.24	6.03	10.62	Watch
	1.23	6.55	9.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.18)	6.74 ↓ (7.23)	10.92 ↓ (11.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca
77.5%

Draw
13.9%

Querétaro
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.1%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Toluca - Querétaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Toluca (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez H. (G) 19. Simon S. 4. Bruno Mendez 25. del Villar E. 20. Gallardo J. 14. Ruiz M. 5. Romero F. 10. Angulo J. 8. Castro N. 9. Vega A. (C) 26. Paulinho	25. Allison G. (G) 12. Gomez J. 9. Reyes D. (C) 6. Homenchenko S. 2. Mendoza Martin O. I. 16. Zapata A. 10. Rodriguez L. 28. Bogarin R. 13. Armenta E. 26. Perlaza J. 31. Avila A.
Substitutes
35. Alvarez A. 24. Arce F. 2. Barbosa D. 3. Briseno A. 22. Garcia L. (G) 16. Herrera H. 17. Isais M. 31. Morales R. 6. Pereira F. 23. Virgen O.	8. Barrera P. 55. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 4. Garcia C. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 14. Hernandez J. 7. Jhojan Julio 3. Manzanarez O. 23. Robles J. 17. Venegas F. 15. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Mohamed A.	Mora B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Castro N. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
30', 3 - 0, Vega A. (Pen),
32', Gomez J. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
34', Vega A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Armenta E. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
46', Gallardo J. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
62', Vega A. ↓, Virgen O. ↑,
62', Ruiz M. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Angulo J. ⚽, Paulinho (A),
67', Rodriguez L. ↓, Barrera P. ↑,
67', Bogarin R. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
72', Paulinho ↓, Morales R. ↑,
74', Perlaza J. ↓, Venegas F. ↑,
83', Castro N. ↓, Briseno A. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.

Toluca is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Querétaro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Toluca is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Toluca: Luan (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury) Lertora F. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca
Mexican Liga MX
04.10.25	Club León - Toluca	2:4 ✺
Campeones Cup
01.10.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca	2:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
27.09.25	Toluca - Mazatlan	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Toluca - Monterrey	6:2 ✺
20.09.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW
- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
04.10.25	Querétaro - Puebla	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Querétaro - Tigres UANL	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Cruz Azul - Querétaro	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Pachuca - Querétaro	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Querétaro - Monterrey	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
26.02.25	Toluca - Querétaro	5:0
18.10.24	Querétaro - Toluca	0:1
12.01.24	Querétaro - Toluca	2:2
08.10.23	Toluca - Querétaro	3:1
05.03.23	Querétaro - Toluca	1:0
02.10.22	Toluca - Querétaro	4:1
24.02.22	Querétaro - Toluca	1:1

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