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Current Win Probability
Chivas Guadalajara 68.9%
Draw 18.8%
Mazatlan 12.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61%
21.8%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
21.2%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.75 - Mazatlan (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) 19. Campillo Del Campo D. 17. Romo L. (C) 21. Castillo J. 37. Ledezma R. 6. Govea O. 28. Gonzalez F. 5. Gonzalez B. 226. Sandoval S. 34. Gonzalez A. 10. Alvarez E.
1. Gutierrez D. (C) 26. Leyva A. 5. Almada F. 6. Meraz R. 11. Barcenas Y. 16. Esquivel J. 15. Colula B. 14. Zaleta M. 7. Dudu 90. Fabio Gomes 199. Gonzalez I.
Substitutes
23. Aguirre D. 25. Alvarado R. 26. Camberos H. 14. Chicharito 24. Gomez M. 15. Gutierrez E. 3. Sepulveda G. 4. Tapias M. 13. Whalley O. (G) 29. Wilke T.
13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 4. Diaz J. 9. Duarte A. 8. Fierro S. 2. Garcia J. 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 193. Lopez G. 12. Rodriguez S. 18. Torres A.
Coaches
Milito G.
Siboldi R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
40', 2 - 0, Gonzalez B. ⚽, Ledezma R. (A),
45+2', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
45+4', Leyva A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez I. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
46', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
60', Alvarez E. ↓, Aguirre D. ↑,
60', Govea O. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
72', Gonzalez A. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
72', Sandoval S. ↓, Alvarado R. ↑,
75', Meraz R. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
75', Esquivel J. ↓, Fierro S. ↑,
83', Dudu ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
90+1', Castillo J. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
Guadalajara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Mazatlan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Guadalajara is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Guadalajara: Alvarado R.
(Ankle Injury)
Gutierrez E.
(Muscle Injury)
Mozo A.
(Knee Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Mazatlan: Merolla L.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).
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Rangel R. (G) 
Ledezma R. 
Almada F. 
Barcenas Y. 
Dudu 
Whalley O. (G) 
Duarte A. 
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