Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Quevilly		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.25
	3.1	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.36	3.39	2.31
	3.36	3.38	2.24
	3.1	3.25	2.2
	3.25	3.38	2.24	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (4.45)	3.31 ↓ (3.41)	2.24 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quevilly
29.4%

Draw
28.5%

Auxerre
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

27.5%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

27%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quevilly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quevilly's performance.

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auxerre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quevilly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auxerre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Quevilly - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Quevilly will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Auxerre will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leroy B. (G) 6. Batisse A. 5. Cissokho T. 22. Loric S. 58. Sissoko A. 8. Cadiou N. (C) 4. Pierret B. 7. Pendant J. 9. Soumano S. 19. Coulibaly K. 93. Camara M.	16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 6. Agouzoul S. 5. Pellenard T. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. (C) 97. Raveloson R. 17. Sinayoko L. 7. Hein G. 45. Onaiwu A. 19. Aye F.
Substitutes
20. Cisse N. 30. Courel A. (G) 14. Do Marcolino F. 12. Gbelle G. 34. Pionnier T. 31. Poha D. 90. Yade P.	13. Akpa C. 8. Buayi-Kiala N. 2. Dagba C. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 10. Perrin G. 75. Soumare I.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Pelissier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Coulibaly K. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Hein G. ⚽, Onaiwu A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Joly P. ↓, Dagba C. ↑,
56', Hein G. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Onaiwu A. ⚽, Aye F. (A),
66', 2 - 2, Pierret B. ⚽,
70', Sinayoko L. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
71', Aye F. ↓, Soumare I. ↑,
71', Sissoko A. ↓, Cisse N. ↑,
72', Loric S. ↓, Gbelle G. ↑,
80', Coulibaly K. 🟨,
81', Soumano S. ↓, Yade P. ↑,
81', Pierret B. ↓, Poha D. ↑,
89', Coulibaly K. ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Camara M. ⚽, Poha D. (A),
90+5', 3 - 3, Onaiwu A. ⚽, Pellenard T. (A),
90+6', Cisse N. 🟨,
90+6', Raveloson R. 🟨,
90+7', Soumare I. 🟥,
90+10', 🟨,
90+10', 4 - 3, Yade P. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Recent matches Quevilly is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Auxerre is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Auxerre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Quevilly won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Quevilly won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Quevilly
French Ligue 2
06.04.24	Rodez - Quevilly	3:3 ✺
30.03.24	Quevilly - Caen	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Quevilly - Troyes	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bordeaux - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Annecy - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTTT
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
08.04.24	Auxerre - Troyes	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Auxerre - Caen	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Auxerre - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.12.23	Auxerre - Quevilly	3:2
26.02.22	Auxerre - Quevilly	1:0
18.09.21	Quevilly - Auxerre	0:0
16.03.18	Quevilly - Auxerre	4:1
20.10.17	Auxerre - Quevilly	2:1

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