Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ajaccio		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.15
	3.75	3.1	2.1	Watch
	4.09	2.99	2.17
	4.09	2.99	2.17
	3.7	3.1	2.05
	3.83	3.2	2.09	Watch
	3.65	3.05	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.75)	3.08 ↓ (3.09)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
24.8%

Draw
30.7%

Auxerre
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

30.4%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

30.3%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Auxerre have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	40%	46.7%

Ajaccio - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Auxerre will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 21. Avinel C. 5. Vidal C. 31. Strata T. 10. Jacob V. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 4. Barreto M. (C) 3. Quemper S. 18. Ibayi C. 11. Toure B.	16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 13. Akpa C. 75. Soumare I. 42. Owusu E. 97. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 19. Aye F. 45. Onaiwu A.
Substitutes
44. Escartin J. 35. Khelifa A. 33. Martinez-Jullien O. 1. Michel M. (G) 7. Nouri R. 34. Silva R. 22. Soumano M.	6. Agouzoul S. 8. Buayi-Kiala N. 35. Danois K. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 11. Maddy E. 17. Sinayoko L.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Pelissier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Ibayi C. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽,
43', Jubal ↓, Agouzoul S. ↑,
45+1', Akpa C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Jacob V. ↓, Nouri R. ↑,
60', Pantaloni O. 🟨,
61', Agouzoul S. 🟨,
62', Soumare I. ↓, Sinayoko L. ↑,
68', Quemper S. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
74', Perrin G. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
86', Ibayi C. ↓, Silva R. ↑,
86', Jabol-Folcarelli T. ↓, Martinez-Jullien O. ↑,
87', Toure B. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0.

Ajaccio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Auxerre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Auxerre will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
16.03.24	Paris FC - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Ajaccio - Annecy	1:3 ✺
04.03.24	Angers - Ajaccio	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Ajaccio - Amiens	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Laval - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTT
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
16.03.24	Auxerre - Caen	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Auxerre - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Auxerre - Bastia	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Annecy - Auxerre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Auxerre - Ajaccio	2:0
French Ligue 1
09.04.23	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:3
30.10.22	Auxerre - Ajaccio	1:0
French Ligue 2
28.01.22	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:0
07.08.21	Auxerre - Ajaccio	0:0
05.02.21	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:0
03.10.20	Auxerre - Ajaccio	5:1

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