Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 31

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Serbia	Arena Sport
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Turkey	beIN Sports 4


	Auxerre		Troyes

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6.75
	1.44	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.71	6.81
	1.45	4.76	6.82
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.45	4.7	6.65	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	4.6 ↓ (4.61)	6.62 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
65.3%

Draw
20.4%

Troyes
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

19.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.1%	5.6%

Auxerre - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 6. Agouzoul S. 5. Pellenard T. 14. Mensah G. 7. Hein G. 42. Owusu E. (C) 97. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 17. Sinayoko L. 45. Onaiwu A.	38. Alemdar D. (G) 22. Zoukrou B. 4. Ntim E. 3. Ndiaye A. 12. Conte A. 15. Palaversa A. 24. Chavalerin X. (C) 20. Ripart R. 27. Dong K. 11. Said R. 10. M'Changama Y.
Substitutes
13. Akpa C. 19. Aye F. 8. Buayi-Kiala N. 2. Dagba C. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 75. Soumare I.	40. Assoumou J. 7. Bangre M. 30. Boucher Z. (G) 17. de Preville N. 36. Kohon R. 23. Olaitan J. 5. Tahrat M.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Guion D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Onaiwu A. (Pen),
56', Chavalerin X. 🟨,
59', Agouzoul S. 🟨,
64', Tahrat M. 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, Sinayoko L. ⚽,
74', Dong K. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
74', M'Changama Y. ↓, Olaitan J. ↑,
78', Perrin G. ↓, Soumare I. ↑,
78', Sinayoko L. ↓, Aye F. ↑,
83', Said R. ↓, de Preville N. ↑,
83', Ripart R. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
86', Onaiwu A. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
90+1', Hein G. ↓, Dagba C. ↑,
90+3', Mensah G. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Auxerre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Auxerre is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
01.04.24	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Auxerre - Caen	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Auxerre - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Auxerre - Bastia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLTT
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
30.03.24	Troyes - Rodez	2:3 ✺
16.03.24	Quevilly - Troyes	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Troyes - Bastia	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Guingamp - Troyes	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Troyes - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
23.09.23	Troyes - Auxerre	1:2
French Ligue 1
01.04.23	Auxerre - Troyes	1:0
04.11.22	Troyes - Auxerre	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Auxerre - Troyes	1:0
French Ligue 2
30.01.21	Troyes - Auxerre	3:1
Coupe De France
19.01.21	Auxerre - Troyes	1:0
French Ligue 2
21.09.20	Auxerre - Troyes	2:1

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