The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortuna Sittard 55.4%
Draw 24.6%
Waalwijk 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
23.9%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
26.9%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81%
14.3%
4.8%
Fortuna Sittard - Waalwijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fortuna Sittard will win
(17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 28. Mitrovic J. 6. van Ottele S. 14. Guth R. (C) 35. Dijks M. 22. Bastien S. 32. Rosier L. 33. Bullaude E. 10. Halilovic A. 7. Peterson K. 23. Da Cruz A.
1. Houwen J. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 17. van Eijma R. 4. Van Gelderen L. 34. Wouters L. 24. Roemeratoe G. 6. Oukili Y. 52. Ihattaren M. 22. van de Loo T. 19. Margaret R. 9. Zawada O. (C)
Substitutes
11. Aiko M. 71. Bayram R. (G) 8. Dahlhaus J. 85. Embalo U. 50. Erceg A. 5. Grujcic D. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 20. Michut E. 12. Pinto I. 77. Tunjic L.
7. Cleonise D. 35. Felida K. 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 29. Kramer M. 2. Lelieveld J. 14. Lokesa C. 28. Meijers A. 10. Niemeijer R. 18. van der Water S. 31. Vogels L. (G) 8. Vroegh P.
Coaches
Buijs D.
Fraser H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Da Cruz A. ⚽, Bullaude E. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Peterson K. ⚽, van Ottele S. (A),
34', 3 - 0, Bullaude E. ⚽, Peterson K. (A),
45+1', 3 - 1, Zawada O. ⚽, Margaret R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', van de Loo T. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
56', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,
59', Al Mazyani F. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
66', 3 - 2, Zawada O. ⚽, Margaret R. (A),
69', Halilovic A. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
69', Mitrovic J. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
76', Margaret R. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,
76', Oukili Y. ↓, Niemeijer R. ↑,
84', Peterson K. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
85', Dijks M. ↓, Dahlhaus J. ↑,
85', Aiko M. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
90+4', Michut E. 🟨,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Fortuna Sittard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Fortuna Sittard is a favorite.
There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Pinto I.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Sierhuis K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Familia-Castillo J.
(Injury)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:19 (average 1.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.7:0.9).