Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Kompas TV, Vidio
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra


	Zwolle		Fortuna Sittard

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.58	3.55	2.62
	2.6	3.7	2.69
	2.44	3.6	2.74	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.63
	2.49	3.68	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.1)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.67 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
37.8%

Draw
26.6%

Fortuna Sittard
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zwolle's form might have worsened.

Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortuna Sittard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zwolle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	14.3%	23.8%

Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Fortuna Sittard (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. de Graaff T. (G) 6. Gooijer T. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 30. Thomas R. (C) 25. Oosting T. 35. Monteiro J. 7. Shoretire S. 10. Kostons K. 22. de Rooij K.	31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 6. van Ottele S. 44. Marquez I. 4. Adewoye S. 20. Michut E. 80. Fosso R. 52. Ihattaren M. 17. Lonwijk J. 7. Peterson K. 9. Sierhuis K.
Substitutes
48. Bakker L. (G) 29. Buitink T. 8. Buurmeester Z. 19. Faberski J. 34. Fichtinger N. 11. Mbayo D. 20. Reiziger G. 42. Ruward D. 41. Verduin D. (G)	11. Aiko M. 22. Bastien S. 23. Brittijn P. 19. Gladon P. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 18. Limnios D. 25. Martens N. (G) 38. Schenkhuizen T. 77. Tunjic L.
Coaches
Van Der Vegt H.	Buijs D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kostons K. ⚽, Shoretire S. (A),
13', Lonwijk J. 🟨,
37', Graves S. 🟨,
43', Kostons K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', van Ottele S. 🟨,
59', Pinto I. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
59', Lonwijk J. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
59', Peterson K. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
67', Monteiro J. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
70', Marquez I. ↓, Brittijn P. ↑,
73', Fosso R. 🟨,
83', van Ottele S. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
84', Oosting T. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
90', Floranus S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S. (Inactive) Manu B. M. (Inactive) Renwarin G. (Inactive) Schendelaar J. (Injury) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury) van der Haar D. (Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Hubner J. (Red Card) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Zwolle: Thomas R. (Injury) Voute D. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Fortuna Sittard - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.09%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
06.12.25	Feyenoord - Zwolle	6:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.12.25	Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.11.25	Zwolle - Heerenveen	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Groningen - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLWTW
- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
06.12.25	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Fortuna Sittard - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
26.01.25	Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle	1:4
09.11.24	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	3:1
16.03.24	Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle	3:1
05.11.23	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	2:0
06.03.22	Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle	0:1
11.12.21	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	0:1
16.01.21	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	0:2

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