Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)


	Quilmes		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.96	3	4.33	Watch
	1.95	2.92	4.25	Watch
	2.03	2.97	4.98
	1.96	2.91	4.74	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4.4
	1.85	2.98	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.2)	2.93 ↑ (2.81)	4.53 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
47.7%

Draw
31.8%

Nueva Chicago
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

33.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

32.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quilmes's performance.

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Quilmes - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Glellel E. (G) 10. Batista A. 5. Bolivar A. 9. Dominguez A. 2. Kippes A. 7. Lavezzi A. 8. Martinez R. 3. Ortega T. 6. Recalde L. 4. Vallejos M. 11. Vera U.	1. Masuero F. (G) 10. Ambrogio L. 9. Cocimano S. 3. Ferracutti G. 2. Gissi D. 5. Mendez E. 4. Palazzo B. 6. Paz G. 8. Ramirez R. 7. Rodriguez T. 11. Vega G.
Substitutes
19. Barreto J. 14. Bindella A. 12. Canadell 18. Fernandez M. 17. Luna R. 16. Postigo J. 13. Rasso I. 20. Spetale A. 15. Yangali J.	14. Arroyo D. 17. Bergara M. 15. Cardozo E. 12. Jachfe L. (G) 13. Moreno F. 20. Ocampo T. 19. Petrecca N. 18. Romero M. S. 16. Ruiz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ferracutti G. 🟨,
60', Batista A. 🟨,
62', Rodriguez T. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
67', Martinez R. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
72', Ambrogio L. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
72', Vega G. ↓, Ocampo T. ↑,
72', Ferracutti G. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
77', Dominguez A. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
77', Batista A. ↓, Spetale A. ↑,
81', Cocimano S. ↓, Romero M. S. ↑,
87', Lavezzi A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
87', Vera U. ↓, Barreto J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.

In recent matches, Quilmes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nueva Chicago is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Quilmes is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Quilmes - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.47%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Temperley - Quilmes	3:3 ✺
05.04.26	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	San Telmo - Quilmes	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Club Almagro - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Quilmes - Patronato Parana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWLW
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.26	Nueva Chicago - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Nueva Chicago - All Boys	0:0 ✺
23.03.26	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.11.24	Nueva Chicago - Quilmes	1:0
10.11.24	Quilmes - Nueva Chicago	0:0
03.10.22	Nueva Chicago - Quilmes	2:1
24.10.21	Quilmes - Nueva Chicago	3:1
28.06.21	Nueva Chicago - Quilmes	1:1
08.04.19	Quilmes - Nueva Chicago	3:2
Club Friendly
25.01.18	Quilmes - Nueva Chicago	1:0

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