The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 45.5%
Draw 29.3%
San Martín de Tucumán 25.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46%
29%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
29.3%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marinelli G. (G) 11. Aimale J. 10. Batista A. 3. Bindella A. 22. Kippes A. 8. Ortega A. 2. Romeo L. 9. Spetale A. 14. Vallejos M. 7. Vega G. 5. Yozwiak F.
1. Sand D. (G) 9. Arfaras L. 5. Brinone S. 11. Castro N. 3. Gallardo N. 10. Garcia M. 8. Graneros A. 6. Parnisari E. 2. Rodriguez G. 4. Salazar V. 7. Veliez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Castro N. ⚽, Arfaras L. (A),
26', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Spetale A. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Veliez A. 🟨,
40', Parnisari E. 🟨,
43', Yangali J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Graneros A. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
58', Yangali J. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
63', Garcia M. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
63', Veliez A. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
63', Arfaras L. ↓, Juarez J. ↑,
71', Vallejos M. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
71', Ortega T. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
76', Gallardo N. 🟨,
78', Batista A. ↓, Colazo N. ↑,
78', Novillo J. ↓, Romeo L. ↑,
80', Castro N. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Spetale A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Juarez J. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 0.
Quilmes is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by San Martin T have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Quilmes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Quilmes holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Quilmes has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:13 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Quilmes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Quilmes - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.95%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Marinelli G. (G) 
