The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 51.8%
Draw 28.5%
Agropecuario Argentino 19.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.2%
26.6%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
25.4%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Agropecuario Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Quilmes - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marinelli G. (G) 8. Batista A. 3. Bindella A. 5. Bolivar A. 10. Colazo N. 6. Novillo J. 4. Ortega A. 2. Romeo L. 9. Spetale A. 7. Vega G. 11. Vera U.
1. Acosta L. (G) 6. Aguirre A. 8. Aranda B. 9. Gagliardi A. 5. Gallucci S. 4. Lecanda T. 11. Mosqueira R. 2. Perez A. 7. Ruiz Diaz D. 3. Sanchez F. 10. Vega J.
Substitutes
17. Aimale J. 12. Canadell J. (G) 18. Fernandez M. 20. Lavezzi A. 14. Luna S. 15. Martinez R. 13. Rodriguez S. 19. Vazquez G. 16. Yozwiak F.
13. Actis D. 14. Aguirre E. 19. Auzqui C. 20. Belinetz O. 16. Castro R. 18. Heritier J. 15. Pereyra N. 12. Salort G. (G) 17. Valdez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Vega J. ⚽,
21', Gallucci S. ↓, Pereyra N. ↑,
41', Vera U. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ortega A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
46', Colazo N. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
58', Spetale A. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
64', Aguirre A. 🟨,
67', Ruiz Diaz D. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
72', Vega G. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
77', Lecanda T. ↓, Actis D. ↑,
77', Gagliardi A. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
77', Mosqueira R. ↓, Belinetz O. ↑,
78', Bolivar A. 🟥,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 12th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this matchup, Quilmes is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Quilmes has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 0.7:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Quilmes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).