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Current Win Probability
Chacarita Juniors 34.1%
Draw 32.5%
Quilmes 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
33.5%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
34.5%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Chacarita Juniors have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-1%)
The ML Model estimate for Quilmes aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
60%
40%
Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Losas F. (G) 4. Leyendeker M. 2. Vittor S. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Chaves N. 7. Melendez M. 5. Perez T. (C) 8. Cuello A. 10. Guanca C. 9. Dominguez A. 11. Sanabria M.
1. Marinelli G. (G) 4. Ortega A. 2. Romeo L. 6. Novillo J. 3. Bindella A. 8. Vega G. 5. Yangali J. 10. Batista A. 11. Vera U. 7. Martinez R. 9. Spetale A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Melendez M. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Guanca C. ⚽, Chaves N. (A),
36', Sanabria M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Chaves N. ↓, Calderara B. ↑,
54', Novillo J. 🟨,
56', Ortega A. 🟨,
57', Coronel J. ↓, Colazo N. ↑,
59', Bindella A. 🟨,
61', Spetale A. 🟨,
66', Leyendeker M. 🟨,
68', Martinez R. ↓, Vega G. ↑,
68', Ortega A. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
70', Romeo L. 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, Dominguez A. ⚽, Melendez M. (A),
71', Sanabria M. ↓, Facello F. ↑,
73', Bindella A. ↓, Kippes A. ↑,
73', Vera U. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
76', Perez T. 🟨,
77', Lavezzi A. 🟨,
83', Cuello A. ↓, Perdomo L. ↑,
87', Melendez M. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
88', Dominguez A. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
90+2', Facello F. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 0, Cristaldo F. ⚽, Guanca C. (A),
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 0.
Chacarita has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Quilmes has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Quilmes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Chacarita has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:21 (averaging 1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chacarita against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:11 goals (averaging 1.2:2.2 per game).
Watch
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