Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 23

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Régua		Gondomar

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.25	1.58
	5.8	3.3	1.6
	6.55	3.32	1.55
	5.8	3.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.98 ↑ (4.29)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	1.58 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Régua
15.2%

Draw
27.5%

Gondomar
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.5%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

27.1%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Régua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Régua's form might have worsened.

Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gondomar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Régua than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Régua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gondomar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Régua - Gondomar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, ⚽,
89', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Régua is Relegated to

Régua has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gondomar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gondomar is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Régua won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Régua
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.03.25	Marítimo B - Régua	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Régua - Cinfães	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Coimbrões - Régua	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Régua - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Camacha - Régua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL
- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.03.25	Gondomar - Leça	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Beira-Mar - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Gondomar - Machico	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Guarda FC - Gondomar	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Gondomar - Salgueiros 08	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.11.24	Gondomar - Régua	1:0

Régua - Gondomar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide