Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente Rivadavia		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.7	3.5	Watch
	2.45	2.82	3.3	Watch
	2.49	2.85	3.57
	2.37	2.85	3.58	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.25
	2.38	2.82	3.77	Watch
	2.42	2.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.25)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)	3.5 (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
39.2%

Draw
33.8%

Belgrano
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

32.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 59% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Independiente R (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Independiente R (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Rivadavia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 13. Osella A. 40. Villalba I. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 3. Elordi J. M. 10. Fernandez M. 5. Bottari T. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 43. Sartori F. 22. Villa S.	25. Cardozo T. (G) 14. Morales L. 2. Maldonado A. 17. Lopez L. 3. Sporle A. 21. Sanchez A. 20. Vazquez F. 26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 10. Zelarayan L. 24. Rigoni E. 22. Fernandez N.
Substitutes
19. Atencio R. 36. Bonifacio E. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 17. Dadin B. 14. Gomez L. 12. Macagno R. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 7. Ramis V. 11. Rios G. 77. Sequeira L. 32. Vazquez K. A.	45. Falcon A. 11. Gonzalez F. 37. Gutierrez L. 51. Hernandes R. 5. Longo S. 42. Lucco J. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Ocampo A. 9. Passerini L. 15. Tulian R. 23. Vicentini M. (G) 30. Zelarayan G.
Coaches
Berti A.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
24', Fernandez M. 🟨,
28', Sporle A. 🟨,
32', Villa S. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Vazquez F. ⚽, Rigoni E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
59', Osella A. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
59', Villalba I. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
69', Fernandez N. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
72', Bottari T. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
72', Fernandez M. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
84', Vazquez F. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
89', Zelarayan L. ↓, Lucco J. ↑,
89', Elordi J. M. ↓, Dadin B. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2.

Independiente R has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Independiente R could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Independiente R: Arce A. (Broken collarbone)

There will not play in Belgrano: Passerini L. (Hamstring Injury) Reyna B. (Inactive) Ricca F. (Injury) Velazquez J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home match between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.02.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
18.01.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWWW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.02.26	Belgrano - Banfield	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.01.26	Belgrano - Tigre	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rosario Central - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano	0:0
03.02.25	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3
25.11.24	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2
Copa Argentina
26.04.23	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.22	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
05.12.20	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0
29.09.19	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2

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