Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 34

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Lax Franco S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Racing Santander		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.7	3.67	5.68
	1.7	3.67	5.68
	1.7	3.5	4.75
	1.72	3.72	4.95	Watch
	1.69	3.55	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.81)	3.59 ↑ (3.52)	5.16 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
55.6%

Draw
26.2%

Alcorcón
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	10.3%	0%

Racing Santander - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ezkieta J. (G) 23. Fernandez D. 18. Manu 5. Sanchez G. 40. Garcia M. 16. Morante I. 21. Aldasoro A. 8. Mboula J. 17. Peque 10. Vicente I. 9. Arana J.	1. Ruiz J. (G) 20. Lopez I. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 23. Chema 19. Quintilla X. 17. Garcia V. 16. Perez J. 18. Eteki Y. 8. Rodriganez J. 14. Fede 9. Borrego C.
Substitutes
15. Alves R. 12. Baturina R. 31. Fernandez G. (G) 3. Garcia S. 19. Grenier C. 22. Gutierrez J. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 20. Junior L. 4. Moreno P. 7. Sangalli M. 14. Zenitagoia E.	26. Addai E. 13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 6. Babin J. 24. Bilbao I. 2. Castro J. 10. Juanma Bravo 15. Lara J. 3. Morillas D. 5. Mosquera P. 21. Obieta K.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Nafti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Lopez I. 🟨,
40', Ruiz J. 🟨,
43', Vicente I. 🟨,
43', Garcia V. 🟨,
45+4', Eteki Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Fede ↓, Mosquera P. ↑,
66', Lopez I. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Garcia V. ⚽, Quintilla X. (A),
72', Garcia V. 🟨,
74', Mboula J. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
74', Fernandez D. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
75', Eteki Y. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
79', Chema 🟨,
80', Peque (Pen),
82', Arana J. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
83', Chema 🟨,
84', Perez J. 🟨,
84', Nafti M. 🟥,
86', Borrego C. ↓, Babin J. ↑,
86', Rodriganez J. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
87', Aldasoro A. ↓, Zenitagoia E. ↑,
90+6', Sangalli M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 0.

Racing is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Racing to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Racing won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
30.03.24	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
24.03.24	Racing Santander - Eldense	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Racing Santander - Tenerife	4:2 ✺
02.03.24	Ferrol - Racing Santander	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTWT
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.24	Alcorcón - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
04.03.24	Elche - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.11.23	Alcorcón - Racing Santander	3:1
02.02.20	Racing Santander - Alcorcón	1:1
02.11.19	Alcorcón - Racing Santander	1:0
02.05.15	Alcorcón - Racing Santander	2:0
30.11.14	Racing Santander - Alcorcón	0:1
06.04.13	Alcorcón - Racing Santander	0:1
03.11.12	Racing Santander - Alcorcón	2:1

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