Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 21

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	TV2 Play
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Eldense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.1	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.2
	1.78	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.77	4.76
	1.84	3.68	4.24	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.33
	1.81	3.88	4.14	Watch
	1.78	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.47)	3.69 ↓ (3.95)	4.3 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
52.6%

Draw
25.5%

Eldense
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

23.8%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

23%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Santander's form might have worsened.

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eldense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Santander, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eldense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Racing Santander - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 5. Castro J. 32. Salinas J. 3. Garcia S. 21. Vencedor U. 12. Gueye M. 15. Sangalli M. 7. Junior L. 20. Camara S. 19. Karrikaburu J.	13. Mackay I. (G) 15. Gamez F. 5. Pina 22. Grigore R. 23. Mateu M. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. 24. Timor D. 20. Chapela I. 11. Ortuno J. 21. Bernal A.
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 34. Diaz D. 40. Garcia M. 18. Manu 11. Martin A. 17. Michelin C. 4. Moreno P. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 22. Rodriguez P. 10. Vicente I.	6. Camarasa V. 29. Godoy A. 33. Iniesta Soriano A. 1. Martin D. (G) 14. Monsalve N. 10. Montes C. 27. Ogbuehi S. 9. Quintana Nacho 18. Ropero U. 16. Youness
Coaches
Lopez J.	Ponz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Mateu M. 🟨,
41', Chapela I. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Camara S. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
52', Sangalli M. 🟨,
59', Gueye M. ↓, Vicente I. ↑,
59', Sangalli M. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
59', Junior L. ↓, Aldasoro A. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Karrikaburu J. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
70', 2 - 0, Martin A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
71', Bernal A. 🟨,
72', Ortuno S. ↓, Camarasa V. ↑,
72', Timor D. ↓, Youness ↑,
72', Ortuno J. ↓, Ogbuehi S. ↑,
77', Mantilla A. ↓, Manu ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Grigore R. ⚽, Camarasa V. (A),
90', Bernal A. ↓, Ropero U. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Ropero U. ⚽, Garcia V. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Racing is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eldense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eldense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Sainz-Maza I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Eldense: Martos I. (Red Card)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Racing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.24	Elche - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Racing Santander - Huesca	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Granada - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Racing Santander - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
18.12.24	Málaga - Eldense	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Eldense - Elche	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Burgos - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Cádiz - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.24	Eldense - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.24	Racing Santander - Eldense	2:1
16.12.23	Eldense - Racing Santander	3:3

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