Match Info

LaLiga - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin
Belarus	22:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Cambodia	02:00	MyTV
Canada	15:00	TSN+
China	03:00	Migu
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 2
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 2
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:00	Disney+
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	03:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 2
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	S Sport
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Vietnam	02:00	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Racing Santander		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3.50	2.85
	2.28	3.4	3	Watch
	2.38	3.58	3.11
	2.4	3.66	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.55	3.05
	2.28	3.54	3.14	Watch
	2.29	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.19)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	3.02 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
41.3%

Draw
27%

Valencia
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

25.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	32%	32%

Racing Santander - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Valencia will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 17.2% – 54.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 25%). Valencia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (4.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (3.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.73) (votes: 86%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 5. Ramon P. 24. Belocian J. 17. Salinas J. 23. Martin I. 18. Prati M. 20. Canales S. 8. Almeida A. 10. Vicente I. 21. Zabiri Y.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 24. Maffeo P. 4. Diakhaby M. 12. De Haas J. 14. Gaya J. (C) 23. Ugrinic F. 8. Guerra J. 2. Rodriguez G. 18. Pepelu 19. Raba D. 9. Duro H.
Substitutes
9. Arana J. 15. Garcia P. 31. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 16. Gonzalez F. 14. Gueye M. 7. Guliashvili G. 19. Luque I. 4. Manu Hernando 3. Martin A. 11. Martin A. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 12. Villalibre A.	37. Blazquez A. 36. Cordoba I. 7. Danjuma A. 15. Dieng A. 10. Elliott H. 22. Martinez A. 33. Mayol A. 27. Otorbi D. 39. Sato R. 5. Tarrega C. 25. van Oevelen K. (G) 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Aguirre J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Raba D. ⚽, De Haas J. (A),
22', Ramon P. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
45+2', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
45+2', Salinas J. 🟨,
45+4', Diakhaby M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diakhaby M. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Martin I. ⚽,
58', Ugrinic F. ↓, Otorbi D. ↑,
58', Raba D. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
61', Almeida A. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
61', Ramon P. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Otorbi D. ⚽, Guerra J. (A),
72', Maffeo P. 🟨,
75', Canales S. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
85', Guerra J. ↓, Dieng A. ↑,
86', Maffeo P. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
87', Prati M. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
87', Zabiri Y. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
90+2', Martin I. 🟨,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th and 20th in the Relegation - LaLiga2).

Racing has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Valencia is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Racing: Eriksson S. (Shoulder Injury).

Confirmed absences for Valencia: Canos S. (Knee Injury) Lopez D. (Knee Injury) Rioja L. (Heel Injury) Sadiq U. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Valencia: Foulquier D. (Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Racing has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Racing against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Racing Santander	10	3	2	5	15:26	-11	11
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Valencia: 0.15% Racing Santander: 0.1%

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.37%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Valencia - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 30.07%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga
19.09.26	Celta de Vigo - Racing Santander	5:0 ✺
16.09.26	Barcelona - Racing Santander	7:2 ✺
12.09.26	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander	3:2 ✺
28.08.26	Racing Santander - Elche	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.26	Valencia - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
15.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Sevilla - Valencia	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Valencia - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Valencia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
29.01.12	Racing Santander - Valencia	N/A

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