Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 20

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Sancho (Córdoba)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)


	Racing de Córdoba		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.05	3.5
	2.32	2.98	3.6
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.28	2.96	3.55
	2.24	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.77)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	3.4 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing de Córdoba
41.6%

Draw
30.9%

Atlético de Rafaela
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

31.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

32.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing de Córdoba's performance.

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing de Córdoba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	64.3%	0%

Racing de Córdoba - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mattalia J. (G) 2. Calderon E. 3. Arguello J. 4. Rinaudo S. 6. Mattia F. 5. Gimenez E. 7. Coronel F. 8. Mendez J. 10. Femia N. 9. Nasta B. 11. Fernandez L.	1. Peano M. (G) 2. Fontanini F. 3. Bravo A. 4. Torres F. 6. Osores M. 5. Fissore M. 7. Valdivia M. 8. Lamendola N. 10. Luna A. 9. Bieler C. 11. Delgadillo N.
Substitutes
20. Acosta R. 18. Berrondo A. 15. Bustos A. 14. Ferrero G. 19. Figueroa M. 16. Oyola A. I. 17. Pomba I. 12. Rodriguez L. G. (G) 13. Scolari J.	19. Albertengo G. 17. Arevalo T. 12. Bergia M. (G) 20. Funez N. 18. Portillo A. 14. Risso G. 15. Soloa F. 13. Telechea G. N. 16. Varela N.
Coaches
Pozo D.	Medran E.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Racing de Córdoba is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético de Rafaela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing de Córdoba will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Racing de Córdoba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.06.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
19.06.23	Racing de Córdoba - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
28.05.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
22.05.23	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLT
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.06.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	Tristán Suárez - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
02.06.23	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	3:0 ✺
28.05.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Mitre	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	Chaco For Ever - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.02.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Racing de Córdoba	2:1

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