Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Radcliffe		Nantwich Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.7
	1.94	3.2	3.25
	1.83	3.4	3.75
	1.97	3.42	3.68
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	1.91	3.52	3.5
	1.95	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.73)	3.35 ↑ (3.28)	3.53 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
47.3%

Draw
27%

Nantwich Town
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.7%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

27%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Radcliffe's form might have worsened.

Nantwich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantwich Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radcliffe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantwich Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantwich Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Radcliffe - Nantwich Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Radcliffe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Nantwich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nantwich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nantwich have a series of home games.

Radcliffe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Radcliffe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
12.11.22	Radcliffe - Guiseley	4:2 ✺
05.11.22	Bamber Bridge - Radcliffe	1:3 ✺
25.10.22	Atherton Collieries - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Radcliffe - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
18.10.22	Belper Town - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTTT
- Nantwich Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.11.22	Nantwich Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Nantwich Town - Morpeth Town	3:0 ✺
05.11.22	Ashton United - Nantwich Town	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Nantwich Town - Liversedge	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
11.12.21	Nantwich Town - Radcliffe	2:3
11.09.21	Radcliffe - Nantwich Town	3:1
07.03.20	Radcliffe - Nantwich Town	2:2
12.10.19	Nantwich Town - Radcliffe	0:1

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