Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom)

Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, Eleven Sports 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Radomiak Radom		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.7	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	2.62	3.3	2.52	Watch
	3.04	3.28	2.14
	2.73	3.36	2.57	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.2
	2.64	3.35	2.58	Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.09)	3.32 ↑ (3.23)	2.4 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radomiak Radom
32.8%

Draw
28.2%

Pogoń Szczecin
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.8%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Radomiak (1.49) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.25 - Pogoń Szczecin (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Radomiak (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 3 - 50%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 13. Grzesik J. (C) 5. Blasco J. 74. Kingue S. 20. Joao Pedro 28. Kaput M. 6. Jordao B. 11. Capita 10. Alves R. 7. Lopes V. 15. Tapsoba A.	77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 22. Loncar D. 2. Huja M. 4. Leo Borges 8. Ulvestad F. 18. Mukairu P. 10. Przyborek A. 14. Pozo J. 11. Grosicki K. (C) 9. Koulouris E.
Substitutes
2. Camara I. 16. Cichocki M. 77. Donis C. 8. Golubickas P. 99. Guilherme 75. Jerke M. 44. Koptas W. (G) 9. Leandro 25. Maurides 27. Niziolek A. 38. Wolski R. 24. Zie Ouattara	29. Bak M. 15. Bieganski J. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 13. Keramitsis D. 99. Kostorz K. 32. Koutris L. 47. Lawa B. 17. Lis J. 20. Paryzek P. 61. Smolinski K. 35. Wojciechowski M.
Coaches
Henriques J.	Kolendowicz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Kaput M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Capita ⚽, Jordao B. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Blasco J. ⚽, Jordao B. (A),
49', Loncar D. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Grzesik J. ⚽, Alves R. (A),
60', Leo Borges ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
68', Lopes V. ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
72', Mukairu P. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
72', Przyborek A. ↓, Wojciechowski M. ↑,
74', Alves R. ↓, Wolski R. ↑,
74', Tapsoba A. ↓, Maurides ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Maurides ⚽, Zie Ouattara (A),
84', Ulvestad F. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
84', Pozo J. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
84', Kaput M. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
84', Joao Pedro ↓, Donis C. ↑,
89', 5 - 1, Grzesik J. ⚽, Niziolek A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 3.

In recent matches, Radomiak has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Radomiak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Radomiak has had a series of home games.

Pogoń Szczecin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Radomiak Radom - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.08%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Pogoń Szczecin - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.15%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radomiak Radom
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:3 ✺
05.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Omonia	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	Radomiak Radom - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.05.25	Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTTL
- Pogoń Szczecin
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Baník Ostrava	3:1 ✺
25.06.25	Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.05.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
10.05.25	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0
08.11.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom	0:1
16.02.24	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin	0:4
13.08.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom	0:2
27.05.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom	4:0
13.11.22	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2
04.03.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom	4:0

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