The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Raith Rovers 49.7%
Draw 27.4%
Ayr United 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
28%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
29%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raith Rovers's performance.
Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayr United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raith Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayr United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Raith Rovers - Ayr United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 5. Fordyce C. 4. Hanlon P. (C) 3. Delaney Z. 21. Telfer Ch. 14. Adamson C. 11. Robertson J. 25. Montagu K. 18. McMullan P. 19. Dowds A.
1. Stone H. (G) 8. King L. 5. Holt K. 3. Dick L. 32. Watret D. 20. McBeth L. 6. Lyon R. (C) 16. Summers B. 33. McMann S. 7. Stirton O. 11. Taylor R.
Substitutes
13. Armstrong L. (G) 20. Brown S. 23. Easton D. 22. Millen R. 16. Stevenson L. 15. Tiffoney S. 8. Turner K.
34. Douglas J. 17. Hatton T. 2. McAllister N. 25. Mitchell K. 15. Murphy J. 38. Russell L. (G) 35. Simpson J. 26. Warbrick M.
Coaches
Imrie D.
Naysmith G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', King L. 🟥,
9', 1 - 0, Dowds A. ⚽, Delaney Z. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Dowds A. ⚽, McMullan P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Adamson C. 🟨,
60', Telfer Ch. 🟨,
61', Summers B. 🟨,
64', McMann S. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
65', Adamson C. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
65', Telfer Ch. ↓, Easton D. ↑,
66', McMullan P. ↓, Tiffoney S. ↑,
76', Taylor R. ↓, Hatton T. ↑,
78', Robertson J. ↓, Turner K. ↑,
88', Summers B. ↓, McAllister N. ↑,
88', Stirton O. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 3.
In recent matches, Raith has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ayr is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ayr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Raith is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
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Rae J. (G) 
Rowe J. 
Delaney Z. 
Armstrong L. (G) 
Warbrick M. 
