Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa)

Referee: Kardesler A. (Tur)


	Raków Częstochowa		Flora Tallinn

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	9.5	Watch
	1.25	5.5	10.5
	1.26	5.4	9.5
	1.29	5.5	11
	1.27	5.86	11.2
	1.22	4.75	10
	1.28	5.25	11.75
	1.29	5.8	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	5.41 ↑ (5.06)	10.56 ↑ (8.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
73.8%

Draw
17.3%

Flora Tallinn
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

18.3%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

15.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raków Częstochowa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.4%	1.4%	8.2%

Raków Częstochowa - Flora Tallinn Predictions

Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (66 of 73 users predict this - 90.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.66% – 97.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 4. Svarnas S. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 3. Rundic M. 7. Tudor F. 30. Kochergin V. 8. Lederman B. 20. Silva J. C. 27. Nowak B. 99. Piasecki F. 77. Cebula M.	33. Grunvald E. (G) 27. Lilander M. 2. Kuusk M. 43. Seppik M. 26. Hussar K. 5. Kreida V. 14. Vassiljev K. (C) 13. Mihhailov N. 10. Miller M. 8. Ojamaa H. 21. Reinkort S.
Substitutes
5. Berggren G. 89. Bieszczad K. (G) 6. Czyz S. 23. Dominguez M. 25. Racovitan B. 22. Sorescu D. 17. Wdowiak M. 11. Yeboah J. 9. Zwolinski L.	9. Alliku R. 6. Jarviste M. 23. Kolobov M. 74. Kuraksin D. 77. Lapa K. (G) 4. Lukka M. 1. Paplavskis I. K. (G) 16. Tougjas E. 66. Veering R.
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Henn J.

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Raków is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Cluj	2:1 ✺
02.07.23	Slavia Prague - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
27.06.23	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.05.23	Raków Częstochowa - Zagłębie Lubin	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Wisła Płock - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWTW
- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
07.07.23	Paide LM - Flora Tallinn	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	Flora Tallinn - Tammeka	3:0 ✺
28.06.23	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	0:0 ✺
10.06.23	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn	1:5 ✺
07.06.23	Flora Tallinn - Paide LM	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWTWT

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