Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)

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	Raków Częstochowa		Universitatea Craiova

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	5.5
	1.65	3.95	4.95
	1.66	3.9	5.58
	1.71	3.58	5.04	Watch
	1.69	3.89	5.19
	1.87	3.47	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.88)	3.76 ↑ (3.41)	5.04 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
55.9%

Draw
25.3%

Universitatea Craiova
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.4%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

29.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa's performance.

Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	21.2%	12.1%

Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Craiova Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Uni Craiova will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Uni Craiova (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Uni Craiova (3.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Raków (1.86) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

EH +1 - Uni Craiova (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Uni Craiova (2.22) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Uni Craiova (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trelowski K. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 19. Ameyaw M. 23. Struski K. 6. Repka O. 11. Adriano 8. Pienko T. 18. Brunes J. 10. Lopez I.	77. Isenko P. (G) 28. Rus A. 6. Screciu V. 15. Badelj J. 17. Mora C. 4. Cretu A. 8. Baluta T. 20. Cicaldau A. 11. Bancu N. (C) 9. Al Hamlawi A. 10. Baiaram S.
Substitutes
88. Barath P. 5. Bulat M. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 66. Konstantopoulos A. 39. Madrzyk J. (G) 9. Makuch P. 44. Mircetic B. 2. Mosor A. 99. Rondic I. 97. Seck I. 48. Zych O. (G)	29. Basceanu L. 12. Etim M. 14. Houri L. 1. Lung S. Jr. (G) 30. Matei D. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 19. Mogos V. 39. Nsimba S. 3. Romanchuk O. 2. Stefan F. 24. Stevanovic N. 23. Teles
Coaches
Papszun M.	Radoi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Lopez I. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
26', Mora C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Pienko T. ⚽, Struski K. (A),
53', Screciu V. 🟥,
55', Ameyaw M. 🟨,
59', Cicaldau A. ↓, Mekvabishvili A. ↑,
59', Baiaram S. ↓, Teles ↑,
59', Cretu A. ↓, Romanchuk O. ↑,
65', Bancu N. 🟨,
75', Pienko T. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
75', Struski K. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
76', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
76', Baluta T. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Repka O. ⚽, Bulat M. (A),
86', Brunes J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
86', Repka O. ↓, Mircetic B. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Uni Craiova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Raków is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Uni Craiova: Romanchuk O. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Raków Częstochowa - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.25	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTLL
- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
26.09.25	Universitatea Craiova - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Universitatea Craiova	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Universitatea Craiova - Farul Constanța	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Botoșani - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWTW

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