Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Widzewa Łódź (Lodz)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Widzew Łódź		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.58
	2.72	3.41	2.65
	2.95	2.81	2.71	Watch
	2.83	3.51	2.42	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź
34.4%

Draw
28.8%

Raków Częstochowa
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

28.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Widzew Łódź have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Raków will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Raków (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ilic V. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 5. Andreou S. 14. Visus R. 16. Therkildsen P. 10. Alvarez F. 18. Selahi L. 6. Shehu J. (C) 57. Akere S. 9. Zeqiri A. 7. Fornalczyk M.	1. Trelowski K. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 11. Adriano 88. Barath P. 5. Bulat M. 19. Ameyaw M. 8. Pienko T. 10. Lopez I. 18. Brunes J.
Substitutes
77. Baena Perez A. 27. Ba P. M. 99. Bergier S. 55. Czyz S. 13. Gallapeni D. 25. Hanousek Mar. 98. Kikolski M. (G) 3. Kozlovsky S. 19. Pawlowski B. 8. Teklic T. 4. Zyro M.	80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 66. Konstantopoulos A. 39. Madrzyk J. (G) 9. Makuch P. 44. Mircetic B. 6. Repka O. 99. Rondic I. 97. Seck I. 23. Struski K. 48. Zych O. (G)
Coaches
Czubak P.	Papszun M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Visus R. 🟨,
22', Racovitan B. 🟨,
31', Selahi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shehu J. ↓, Czyz S. ↑,
58', Zeqiri A. ↓, Bergier S. ↑,
58', Selahi L. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
59', Akere S. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
63', Adriano 🟨,
71', Pienko T. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
72', Brunes J. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
79', Therkildsen P. ↓, Kozlovsky S. ↑,
79', Lopez I. ↓, Struski K. ↑,
90', Tudor F. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽,
90+4', Diaby-Fadiga L. 🟨,
90+5', Ameyaw M. ↓, Konstantopoulos A. ↑,
90+5', Kozlovsky S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Raków may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź	2:3 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.25	Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Widzew Łódź - Arka Gdynia	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.09.25	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
24.05.25	Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	2:1
30.11.24	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	2:3
27.04.24	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:1
29.10.23	Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	1:1
16.04.23	Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	2:0
02.10.22	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:0

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