Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2, Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Raków Częstochowa		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.3
	3.1	3.25	2.35
	2.95	3.15	2.48
	3.05	3.15	2.45
	3.24	3.31	2.37
	2.8	3	2.3
	3.3	3.3	2.22
	3.05	3.3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.35)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
30.8%

Draw
29.2%

Copenhagen
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

29.3%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.7%	32.2%	27.1%

Raków Częstochowa - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 24 - 40.7%). Copenhagen will win (votes: 16 - 27.1%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 32.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 28.2% – 53.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 15. Kovacevic A. 3. Rundic M. 7. Tudor F. (C) 66. Papanikolaou G. 5. Berggren G. 20. Silva J. C. 30. Kochergin V. 99. Piasecki F. 77. Cebula M.	1. Grabara K. (G) 19. Jelert E. 3. Vavro D. 2. Diks K. 24. Meling B. 7. Claesson V. (C) 33. Falk R. 9. Goncalves D. 40. Bardghji R. 25. Larsson J. 10. Elyounoussi M.
Substitutes
24. Arsenic Z. 6. Czyz S. 93. Kittel S. 8. Lederman B. 27. Nowak B. 14. Plavsic S. 22. Sorescu D. 12. Tsiftsis A. (G) 9. Zwolinski L.	22. Ankersen P. 20. Boilesen N. 36. Clem W. 41. Dithmer A. (G) 39. Hojlund O. 12. Lerager L. 27. Lund V. 18. Oskarsson O. 21. Sander T. (G) 6. Sorensen C.
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Neestrup J.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Raków is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Copenhagen in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Raków could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Raków: Gryszkiewicz A. (Knee Injury) Lopez I. (Knee Injury) Pestka K. (Injury) Svarnas S. (Injury)

There will not play in Copenhagen: Achouri E. (Injury) Amoo A. (Knee Injury) Babacar K. (Injury) Cornelius A. (Groin Injury) Khocholava D. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Aris - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.08.23	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Aris	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWT
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
18.08.23	Hvidovre - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Sparta Prague - Copenhagen	3:4 penalties ✺
Danish Superliga
11.08.23	Copenhagen - OB Odense	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Copenhagen - Sparta Prague	0:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
05.08.23	Copenhagen - Randers FC	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWTW

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