Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)

Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	Sport 1
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Piast Gliwice		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.55
	2.52	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.63	3.35	2.93
	2.85	2.96	2.79	Watch
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.55	3.04	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.58)	3.15 ↓ (3.35)	2.73 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Gliwice
36.1%

Draw
29.7%

Raków Częstochowa
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.4%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.5%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Raków will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Piast (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Piast (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Holec D. (G) 28. Borowski F. 5. Juande 29. Drapinski I. 36. Lewicki J. 31. Lesniak O. 10. Dziczek P. (C) 80. Vallejo H. 98. Lokilo J. 17. Boisgard Q. 63. Barkovskiy G.	1. Trelowski K. (G) 27. Dawidowicz P. 25. Racovitan B. (C) 2. Mosor A. 19. Ameyaw M. 6. Repka O. 5. Bulat M. 20. Silva J. C. 9. Makuch P. 18. Brunes J. 8. Pienko T.
Substitutes
6. Chrapek M. 4. Czerwinski J. 9. Dalmau A. 7. Felix J. 12. Grelich J. (G) 70. Katsantonis A. 18. Maziarz O. 22. Mokwa T. 23. Mucha S. 11. Sanca L. 33. Szymanski K. (G) 55. Twumasi E.	11. Adriano 35. Ilenic M. 30. Kochergin V. 10. Lopez I. 44. Mircetic B. 21. Napieraj J. 17. Rocha L. 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. 29. Zolneczko W. (G) 48. Zych O. (G)
Coaches
Mysliwiec D.	Kroczek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Silva J. C. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Bulat M. ⚽,
25', 0 - 3, Pienko T. ⚽, Silva J. C. (A),
32', Lokilo J. 🟨,
38', Lesniak O. 🟨,
39', Barkovskiy G. 🟨,
44', Repka O. ↓, Kochergin V. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Borowski F. ↓, Twumasi E. ↑,
46', Boisgard Q. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
52', Juande 🟨,
60', Mosor A. 🟨,
64', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
67', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
67', Pienko T. ↓, Adriano ↑,
72', Lokilo J. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
80', Lesniak O. ↓, Maziarz O. ↑,
80', Mosor A. ↓, Svarnas S. ↑,
80', Makuch P. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
87', Twumasi E. 🟨,
89', 1 - 3, Dziczek P. ⚽, Sanca L. (A),
90+3', Felix J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Piast: Plach F. (Knee Injury) Tomasiewicz G. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Raków: Struski K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Raków: Diaby-Fadiga L. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Piast won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Piast Gliwice: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16:15	1	13
18	Rakow	10	1	0	9	13:25	-12	3

Last Results with these Odds

Piast Gliwice - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Raków Częstochowa - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.02%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.05.26	Piast Gliwice - GKS Katowice	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Korona Kielce - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Piast Gliwice - Arka Gdynia	4:1 ✺
20.04.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWTL
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.05.26	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
02.05.26	Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.04.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
22.11.25	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	1:3
08.03.25	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	0:3
30.08.24	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	0:1
Polish Cup
27.02.24	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	3:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.02.24	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	3:1
11.08.23	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	2:1
04.02.23	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	1:0

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