Match Info

Date: 19 August 2021, Thursday


	Raków Częstochowa		Gent

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	1.95
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.85	3.3	2
	3.55	3.15	1.91
	3.78	3.24	1.98
	3.76	3.4	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.42)	3.26 ↑ (3.22)	1.97 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
24.9%

Draw
28.3%

Gent
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28.6%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

18.9%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Raków Częstochowa - Gent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski.

Raków is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gent is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raków could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gent will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.21	Rubin Kazan - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.08.21	Wisła Kraków - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Raków Częstochowa - Rubin Kazan	0:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.08.21	Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Raków Częstochowa - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTLW
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.08.21	Gent - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.21	Rīgas FS - Gent	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.08.21	Oostende - Gent	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Gent - Rīgas FS	2:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.08.21	Gent - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLTT

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