Match Info

Date: 5 August 2021, Thursday


	Raków Częstochowa		Rubin Kazan

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.15	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.45
	2.9	3	2.25
	2.84	2.96	2.14
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.22	3.3	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.41)	3.09 ↓ (3.26)	2.24 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
30.2%

Draw
29.3%

Rubin Kazan
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

27.7%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.7%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raków Częstochowa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.8%	18.8%	62.3%

Raków Częstochowa - Rubin Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 13 - 18.8%). Rubin will win (votes: 43 - 62.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rubin: 50.9% – 73.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski.

Raków is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rubin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rubin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Raków have a series of guest games.

Recently Rubin have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.08.21	Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Raków Częstochowa - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.21	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Sūduva Marijampolė - Raków Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
Polish Super Cup
17.07.21	Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWTW
- Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League
30.07.21	Arsenal Tula - Rubin Kazan	0:3 ✺
24.07.21	Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Rubin Kazan - Sochi	1:3 ✺
14.07.21	Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow	0:4 ✺
10.07.21	Rubin Kazan - Khimki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLW

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