Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 20

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)


	Rampla Juniors		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	1.98	3	3.6
	1.92	3.12	4.05
	1.95	3.49	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	3.71 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
46.6%

Draw
28.9%

Cerrito
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Rampla Juniors - Cerrito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', 🟥,
41', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', 🟥,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 1.

Rampla Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cerrito has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rampla Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cerrito has had a series of home games.

Rampla Juniors could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rampla Juniors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.09.25	Colón Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWL
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.09.25	Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Cerrito - Central Español	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Cerrito - La Luz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.06.25	Cerrito - Rampla Juniors	1:0
03.12.23	Rampla Juniors - Cerrito	5:0
30.07.23	Cerrito - Rampla Juniors	1:1
12.10.20	Rampla Juniors - Cerrito	1:1
17.08.20	Cerrito - Rampla Juniors	0:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.12	Cerrito - Rampla Juniors	N/A

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