The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerrito 38.5%
Draw 29.2%
Atenas de San Carlos 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
29.5%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
30.2%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerrito's performance.
Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atenas de San Carlos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerrito that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atenas de San Carlos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Isasmendi J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 2.
Cerrito is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atenas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cerrito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cerrito has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerrito won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Atenas
21
12
4
5
30:18
12
40
8
Cerrito
21
7
8
6
27:24
3
29
Last Results with these Odds
Cerrito - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
Watch
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