Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Rancho Santana		Municipal Jalapa

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.95	1.55	Watch
	4.66	4.05	1.6
	4.76	4.22	1.61	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.57
	5.23	4.1	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (4.11)	4 (4)	1.58 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rancho Santana
19.1%

Draw
22.9%

Municipal Jalapa
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

23.4%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

22.9%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rancho Santana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Municipal Jalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rancho Santana than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Rancho Santana - Municipal Jalapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Rancho Santana has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jalapa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rancho Santana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jalapa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rancho Santana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rancho Santana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Jalapa	10	1	2	7	6:16	-10	5
10	Rancho Santana	10	1	2	7	8:20	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rancho Santana FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
15.04.26	UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Rancho Santana - Sport Sébaco	0:3 ✺
09.04.26	Walter Ferretti - Rancho Santana	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Rancho Santana - Real Estelí	0:4 ✺
05.03.26	Managua - Rancho Santana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTLL
- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
16.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Madriz	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	UNAN Managua - Municipal Jalapa	2:4 ✺
08.03.26	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	1:0 ✺
05.03.26	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
18.02.26	Municipal Jalapa - Rancho Santana	2:0
31.08.25	Rancho Santana - Municipal Jalapa	2:1
22.01.25	Rancho Santana - Municipal Jalapa	4:0
19.10.24	Rancho Santana - Municipal Jalapa	2:1
10.08.24	Municipal Jalapa - Rancho Santana	1:0

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