Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Municipal Jalapa		Real Madriz

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.33
	1.75	3.55	3.85	Watch
	1.74	3.78	4.34
	1.77	3.87	4.05	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.87	3.74	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.49)	3.7 ↓ (4.32)	4.09 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Jalapa
52.6%

Draw
24.9%

Real Madriz
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.5%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

21.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Jalapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Municipal Jalapa's form might have worsened.

Real Madriz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madriz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Municipal Jalapa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madriz than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madriz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Municipal Jalapa - Real Madriz Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jalapa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Madriz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, ⚽,
67', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalapa won 4.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Real Madriz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jalapa is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jalapa won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jalapa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Jalapa	10	1	2	7	6:16	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
11.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	UNAN Managua - Municipal Jalapa	2:4 ✺
08.03.26	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	1:0 ✺
05.03.26	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Municipal Jalapa - Diriangén	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWWLW
- Real Madriz
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
12.04.26	Real Madriz - UNAN Managua	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Madriz	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Real Madriz - Managua	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Matagalpa - Real Madriz	2:4 ✺
01.03.26	Real Madriz - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
14.02.26	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	0:3
01.11.25	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	1:2
24.08.25	Municipal Jalapa - Real Madriz	4:2
24.04.22	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	1:2
26.02.22	Municipal Jalapa - Real Madriz	0:1
31.10.21	Municipal Jalapa - Real Madriz	0:1
11.09.21	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	1:0

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