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Current Win Probability
Walter Ferretti 67%
Draw 20.4%
Rancho Santana 12.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60%
22%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
20.4%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Walter Ferretti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Walter Ferretti's performance.
Rancho Santana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rancho Santana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rancho Santana than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Walter Ferretti - Rancho Santana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
45+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+6', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
75', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+9', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walter Ferretti won 2.
In recent outings, Walter Ferretti has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rancho Santana has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, Rancho Santana has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The betting markets point to Walter Ferretti as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Walter Ferretti has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:8 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Walter Ferretti against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).
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